Personal projects

2025

Prediction Market Forensic Monitor

Polymarket trade surveillance — anomaly detection, AI forensic analysis, and a self-correcting meta-agent

  • n8n
  • Polymarket API
  • Supabase
  • Discord
  • Gemini
  • Docker
Prediction Market Forensic Monitor preview

A multi-workflow n8n system that polls Polymarket trades every five minutes, flags anomalous activity, runs AI forensic analysis, alerts via Discord, and logs everything to Supabase — with a weekly meta-agent that learns from its own misses.

The three workflows

Forensic Monitor & Strategy Agent

  • Scheduled polling of Polymarket CLOB trades with adaptive lookback (6-minute delta vs. 8-hour backfill after downtime)
  • Anomaly filter logic — niche snipers, macro whales, high-value sports trades, wallet clustering
  • LLM-powered forensic analysis with risk scores and betting recommendations
  • Discord alerts with market links and structured recommendations

Resolution Checker (Evaluation)

  • Fetches unresolved predictions from Supabase forensic_logs
  • Checks actual market outcomes via Polymarket Gamma API
  • Marks predictions as resolved and records accuracy for the learning loop

Meta-Agent (Learning Engine)

  • Weekly run that pulls wrong predictions from Supabase
  • Formats failure context and feeds it back to the LLM to refine detection heuristics
  • Closes the loop: monitor → predict → evaluate → learn

Infrastructure

  • Docker Compose for local n8n + data persistence
  • Supabase as the forensic log store and evaluation backbone

Why it matters

A full sense → decide → act → evaluate → improve agent loop built entirely in n8n — the kind of architecture I bring to production AI systems, just applied to prediction markets as a research sandbox.

Let's work together

manuel@manuelvargas.dev

Open to full-time roles and freelance contracts. I reply within 48 hours.